Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.001066 0.001210 0.001355 0.001510 0.001671 0.001834 0.002009
2026-01-25 0.000801 0.001006 0.001218 0.001451 0.001700 0.001955 0.002234
2026-02-01 0.000617 0.000864 0.001130 0.001430 0.001755 0.002093 0.002470
2026-02-08 0.000484 0.000764 0.001075 0.001435 0.001831 0.002249 0.002719
2026-02-15 0.000381 0.000686 0.001037 0.001451 0.001914 0.002408 0.002966
2026-02-22 0.000302 0.000626 0.001012 0.001478 0.002005 0.002571 0.003216
2026-03-01 0.000217 0.000548 0.000960 0.001468 0.002050 0.002682 0.003406
2026-03-08 0.000138 0.000463 0.000892 0.001434 0.002065 0.002755 0.003552
2026-03-15 0.000092 0.000415 0.000865 0.001445 0.002128 0.002880 0.003751
2026-03-22 0.000049 0.000360 0.000824 0.001436 0.002165 0.002974 0.003914
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000329 0.000813 0.001461 0.002239 0.003106 0.004119
2026-04-05 0.000005 0.000285 0.000778 0.001454 0.002275 0.003195 0.004273
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000227 0.000731 0.001447 0.002328 0.003324 0.004496
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000150 0.000644 0.001385 0.002316 0.003379 0.004639
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000099 0.000589 0.001361 0.002348 0.003484 0.004837
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000067 0.000557 0.001365 0.002412 0.003625 0.005076
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000043 0.000534 0.001379 0.002488 0.003779 0.005329
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000027 0.000520 0.001405 0.002577 0.003948 0.005597
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000008 0.000483 0.001395 0.002619 0.004060 0.005800
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000433 0.001361 0.002630 0.004134 0.005958
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000413 0.001372 0.002696 0.004272 0.006187
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000383 0.001364 0.002735 0.004377 0.006377
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.000374 0.001387 0.002816 0.004530 0.006622